College football

Today's slate: our number and the market's.

Every game today with the implied points each side is expected to score, and the players from our board who are in it. 240 of our 293 ranked players are in action.

Two kinds of number here, and the page keeps them apart. Implied totals are the market's: arithmetic on the published line, where the favourite's share is (total + spread) ÷ 2. The tinted row is ours: a predicted margin from power ratings fitted on 9,276 games back to 2021. A check on September 4 against 38 closing lines found a mean gap of 5.0 points from the market, with 76% inside a touchdown. It has not been remeasured for the current ratings, so treat a gap under about five points as agreement.

BOIS @ CSU 11/7 - 6:00 PM EST BOIS -17.5 · O/U 68.5

Our number BOIS by 16.7 86% to win +0.8 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

43.0BOIS implied points

25.5opponent implied points

#239DeAndre Moore Jr. WR

RICE @ UNT 11/7 - 4:00 PM EST UNT -16.5 · O/U 64.5

Our number UNT by 21.1 92% to win +4.6 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

40.5UNT implied points

24.0opponent implied points

Nobody from our board is in this one.

WVU @ TTU 11/7 - 9:30 PM EST TTU -17.5 · O/U 63.5

Our number TTU by 18.0 88% to win +0.5 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

40.5TTU implied points

23.0opponent implied points

#13Cam Cook RB
#40Terrance Carter TE
#51Malcolm Simmons WR
#84Will Hammond QB
#121Cameron Dickey RB
#134Kenny Johnson WR
#167Coy Eakin WR
#168Michael Hawkins QB
#177Quinten Joyner RB
#187Micah Hudson WR
#240J'Koby Williams RB

TXST @ ORST 11/7 - 10:30 PM EST ORST -6.5 · O/U 70.5

Our number ORST by 4.9 63% to win -1.6 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

38.5ORST implied points

32.0opponent implied points

#202Michael Masunas TE
#218Emmett Mosley WR

LOU @ GT 11/7 - 7:30 PM EST LOU -14.5 · O/U 60.5

Our number LOU by 7.3 69% to win +7.2 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

37.5LOU implied points

23.0opponent implied points

#22Isaac Brown RB
#26Justice Haynes RB
#82Tre Richardson WR
#115TreyShun Hurry WR
#136Brody Foley TE
#242Keyjuan Brown RB
#243Alberto Mendoza QB
#285Lincoln Kienholz QB

CIN @ HOU 11/7 - 3:30 PM EST HOU -11.5 · O/U 62.5

Our number HOU by 6.0 65% to win -5.5 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

37.0HOU implied points

25.5opponent implied points

#9Conner Weigman QB
#11Amare Thomas WR
#56Makhi Hughes RB
#113Patrick Overmyer TE
#148JV Gibson WR
#221Trent Walker WR
#231JC French QB

USA @ UL 11/7 - 5:00 PM EST UL -9.5 · O/U 58.5

Our number UL by 3.8 60% to win -5.7 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

34.0UL implied points

24.5opponent implied points

Nobody from our board is in this one.

ULM @ ARST 11/7 - 3:00 PM EST ARST -14.5 · O/U 52.5

Our number ARST by 13.7 82% to win -0.8 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

33.5ARST implied points

19.0opponent implied points

#213Sutton Smith RB

OKST @ KSU 11/7 - 1:00 PM EST OKST -3.5 · O/U 62.5

Our number KSU by 11.8 78% to win +15.3 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

33.0OKST implied points

29.5opponent implied points

#3Caleb Hawkins RB
#12Wyatt Young WR
#30Avery Johnson QB
#33Drew Mestemaker QB
#60Garrett Oakley TE
#66Joe Jackson RB
#102Chris Barnes WR
#175Nik McMillan WR
#200Jaron Tibbs WR
#209Justin Bowick WR

SHSU @ JXST 11/7 - 7:00 PM EST JXST -16.5 · O/U 48.5

Our number JXST by 13.6 82% to win -2.9 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

32.5JXST implied points

16.0opponent implied points

Nobody from our board is in this one.

LIB @ NMSU 11/7 - 8:00 PM EST LIB -17.5 · O/U 47.5

Our number LIB by 8.9 72% to win +8.6 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

32.5LIB implied points

15.0opponent implied points

Nobody from our board is in this one.

MRSH @ GASO 11/7 - 3:30 PM EST GASO -10 · O/U 54.5

Our number GASO by 3.1 58% to win -6.9 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

32.3GASO implied points

22.3opponent implied points

#237Isiah Canion WR

MD @ PUR 11/7 - 12:30 PM EST PUR -6.5 · O/U 57.5

Our number PUR by 2.0 55% to win -4.5 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

32.0PUR implied points

25.5opponent implied points

#129DeJuan Williams RB
#142Dorian Fleming TE
#178Malik Washington QB
#238Fame Ijeboi RB
#253Chris Durr WR

RUTG @ WIS 11/7 - 4:15 PM EST WIS -17.5 · O/U 45.5

Our number WIS by 11.0 77% to win -6.5 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

31.5WIS implied points

14.0opponent implied points

#7KJ Duff WR
#17Antwan Raymond RB
#120Colton Joseph QB
#196Abu Sama RB

MIA @ ND 11/7 - 7:30 PM EST ND -5.5 · O/U 57.5

Our number ND by 8.9 72% to win +3.4 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

31.5ND implied points

26.0opponent implied points

#16Aneyas Williams RB
#132Joshua Moore WR
#149Jordan Faison WR
#154CJ Carr QB
#155Cooper Flanagan TE
#229Mylan Graham WR
#259Quincy Porter WR

NIU @ SJSU 11/7 - 4:00 PM EST SJSU -10 · O/U 52.5

Our number SJSU by 8.9 72% to win -1.1 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

31.3SJSU implied points

21.3opponent implied points

Nobody from our board is in this one.

UNC @ CONN 11/7 - 12:00 PM EST UNC -7 · O/U 54.5

Our number UNC by 4.3 61% to win +2.7 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

30.8UNC implied points

23.8opponent implied points

#151Jordan Shipp WR
#282Benjamin Hall RB
#286Demon June RB

ARK @ AUB 11/7 - 12:45 PM EST AUB -10.5 · O/U 50.5

Our number AUB by 7.5 69% to win -3.0 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

30.5AUB implied points

20.0opponent implied points

#24Byrum Brown QB
#53Chris Marshall WR
#74Jeremiah Koger WR
#126Keshaun Singleton WR
#194Chas Nimrod WR
#213Sutton Smith RB
#234KJ Jackson QB
#255Jeremiah Cobb RB

TEM @ NAVY 11/7 - 3:30 PM EST NAVY -7.5 · O/U 53.5

Our number NAVY by 12.1 79% to win +4.6 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

30.5NAVY implied points

23.0opponent implied points

Nobody from our board is in this one.

ISU @ BAY 11/7 - 12:00 PM EST BAY -9.5 · O/U 50.5

Our number BAY by 3.1 58% to win -6.4 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

30.0BAY implied points

20.5opponent implied points

#67Dre'lon Miller WR
#89DJ Lagway QB
#101Louis Brown WR
#137Gavin Freeman WR
#220Dawson Pendergrass RB
#263Jaylen Raynor QB

UGA @ MISS 11/7 - 7:30 PM EST UGA -3.5 · O/U 56.5

Our number UGA by 0.4 51% to win +3.1 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

30.0UGA implied points

26.5opponent implied points

#1Kewan Lacy RB
#15Trinidad Chambliss QB
#68Deuce Alexander WR
#78Gunner Stockton QB
#170Nate Frazier RB
#174Caleb Odom TE
#185Lawson Luckie TE
#215Luke Hasz TE
#237Isiah Canion WR
#247Darrell Gill WR
#254Johntay Cook II WR
#272Chauncey Bowens RB

FSU @ BC 11/7 - 12:00 PM EST FSU -6.5 · O/U 52.5

Our number FSU by 7.2 68% to win -0.7 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

29.5FSU implied points

23.0opponent implied points

#39Duce Robinson WR
#96Evan Dickens RB
#99Ousmane Kromah RB
#146Micahi Danzy WR
#223Ashton Daniels QB
#269Mason McKenzie QB
#277Quintrevion Wisner RB

GAST @ APP 11/7 - 2:30 PM EST APP -3.5 · O/U 55.5

Our number APP by 5.7 65% to win +2.2 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

29.5APP implied points

26.0opponent implied points

#237Isiah Canion WR

TA&M @ SC 11/7 - 3:00 PM EST SC -7.5 · O/U 51.5

Our number TA&M by 0.3 51% to win -7.8 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

29.5SC implied points

22.0opponent implied points

#19Mario Craver WR
#25Marcel Reed QB
#61LaNorris Sellers QB
#63Nyck Harbor WR
#71Ashton Bethel-Roman WR
#125Isaiah Horton WR
#207Rueben Owens RB
#252Matt Fuller RB

CLT @ UAB 11/7 - 3:30 PM EST UAB -11.5 · O/U 47.5

Our number UAB by 11.8 78% to win +0.3 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

29.5UAB implied points

18.0opponent implied points

Nobody from our board is in this one.

DEL @ KENN 11/7 - 3:00 PM EST DEL -2.5 · O/U 55.5

Our number KENN by 1.5 54% to win +4.0 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

29.0DEL implied points

26.5opponent implied points

Nobody from our board is in this one.

ALA @ LSU 11/7 - 3:30 PM EST LSU -5.5 · O/U 52.5

Our number ALA by 3.2 58% to win -8.7 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

29.0LSU implied points

23.5opponent implied points

#28Sam Leavitt QB
#41Trey'Dez Green TE
#54Keelon Russell QB
#62Dilin Jones RB
#88Ryan Coleman-Williams WR
#110Jayce Brown WR
#112Lotzeir Brooks WR
#182Jackson Harris WR
#224Caden Durham RB
#228Daniel Hill RB
#250Winston Watkins WR
#265Cederian Morgan WR
#284Eugene Wilson WR
#293Harlem Berry RB

HAW @ UTEP 11/7 - 9:30 PM EST HAW -9.5 · O/U 48.5

Our number HAW by 7.0 68% to win +2.5 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

29.0HAW implied points

19.5opponent implied points

Nobody from our board is in this one.

UK @ TENN 11/7 - 6:15 PM EST TENN -6.5 · O/U 50.5

Our number TENN by 12.5 80% to win +6.0 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

28.5TENN implied points

22.0opponent implied points

#6DeSean Bishop RB
#73Nic Anderson WR
#81Braylon Staley WR
#94TK Keys WR
#97Mike Matthews WR
#105Willie Rodriguez TE
#193Faizon Brandon QB
#212CJ Baxter RB
#219Ethan Davis TE
#267DJ Miller WR
#268Kenny Darby WR
#270Kenny Minchey QB

ORE @ OSU 11/7 - 3:30 PM EST OSU -7 · O/U 48.5

Our number OSU by 10.2 75% to win +3.2 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

27.8OSU implied points

20.8opponent implied points

#2Jeremiah Smith WR
#45Jamari Johnson TE
#47Dierre Hill RB
#65Bo Jackson RB
#79Dakorien Moore WR
#103Dante Moore QB
#162Evan Stewart WR
#173Julian Sayin QB
#204Devin McCuin WR
#208Jordon Davison RB
#246Brandon Inniss WR
#271Chris Henry WR
#290Isaiah West RB
#292Jeremiah McClellan WR

DUKE @ NCSU 11/7 - 12:30 PM EST DUKE -4.5 · O/U 50.5

Our number DUKE by 1.0 53% to win +3.5 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

27.5DUKE implied points

23.0opponent implied points

#29Nate Sheppard RB
#57Jeremiah Hasley TE
#171Jared Richardson WR
#189Vander Ploog TE

WKU @ MTSU 11/7 - 3:30 PM EST MTSU -1.5 · O/U 53.5

Our number WKU by 6.1 66% to win -7.6 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

27.5MTSU implied points

26.0opponent implied points

Nobody from our board is in this one.

MOST @ FIU 11/7 - 4:00 PM EST FIU -4 · O/U 50.5

Our number FIU by 2.5 56% to win -1.5 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

27.3FIU implied points

23.3opponent implied points

Nobody from our board is in this one.

WYO @ UNLV 11/7 - 10:30 PM EST UNLV -7 · O/U 47.5

Our number UNLV by 13.2 81% to win +6.2 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

27.3UNLV implied points

20.3opponent implied points

Nobody from our board is in this one.

BYU @ UTAH 11/7 - 12:00 PM EST UTAH -5.5 · O/U 47.5

Our number UTAH by 9.7 74% to win +4.2 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

26.5UTAH implied points

21.0opponent implied points

#8Devon Dampier QB
#20LJ Martin RB
#75Bear Bachmeier QB
#90Wayshawn Parker RB
#92Walker Lyons TE
#95Braden Pegan WR
#158Kyler Kasper WR
#195Jojo Phillips WR
#222Hunter Andrews TE

LT @ TROY 11/7 - 4:00 PM EST LT -5.5 · O/U 47.5

Our number TROY by 0.6 52% to win +6.1 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

26.5LT implied points

21.0opponent implied points

Nobody from our board is in this one.

OU @ FLA 11/7 - 7:45 PM EST FLA -7 · O/U 45.5

Our number FLA by 0.6 52% to win -6.4 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

26.3FLA implied points

19.3opponent implied points

#18Jadan Baugh RB
#21Isaiah Sategna WR
#23John Mateer QB
#141Trell Harris WR
#143Aaron Philo QB
#152Eric Singleton WR
#186Hayden Hansen TE
#210Tory Blaylock RB
#226Vernell Brown WR
#249Xavier Robinson RB
#260Dallas Wilson RB
#273Rocky Beers TE

TLSA @ TULN 11/7 - 12:00 PM EST TLSA -1.5 · O/U 50.5

Our number TULN by 15.3 84% to win +16.8 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

26.0TLSA implied points

24.5opponent implied points

Nobody from our board is in this one.

ODU @ CCU 11/7 - 1:00 PM EST CCU -7.5 · O/U 44.5

Our number ODU by 0.3 51% to win -7.8 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

26.0CCU implied points

18.5opponent implied points

Nobody from our board is in this one.

COLO @ ASU 11/7 - 7:30 PM EST ASU -3.5 · O/U 48.5

Our number ASU by 9.0 72% to win +5.5 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

26.0ASU implied points

22.5opponent implied points

#59Omarion Miller WR
#106Kyson Brown RB
#108Reed Harris WR
#122Danny Scudero WR
#206Cutter Boley QB
#239DeAndre Moore Jr. WR
#288Julian Lewis QB

MSU @ MICH 11/7 - 7:30 PM EST MICH -12.5 · O/U 39.5

Our number MICH by 18.6 89% to win +6.1 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

26.0MICH implied points

13.5opponent implied points

#31Jordan Marshall RB
#37Bryce Underwood QB
#138Cam Edwards RB
#161Carson Gulker TE
#201Andrew Marsh WR
#232JJ Buchanan WR
#241Savion Hiter RB

UCF @ KU 11/7 - 3:45 PM EST KU -3 · O/U 48.5

Our number KU by 5.1 63% to win +2.1 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

25.8KU implied points

22.8opponent implied points

#52Dylan Wade TE
#109Alonza Barnett QB
#179Dylan Edwards RB
#235Yasin Willis RB
#257Duke Watson RB

VAN @ MSST 11/7 - 4:15 PM EST MSST -3 · O/U 48.5

Our number MSST by 2.9 58% to win -0.1 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

25.8MSST implied points

22.8opponent implied points

#10Kamario Taylor QB
#87Anthony Evans III WR
#98Fluff Bothwell RB
#124Marquis Johnson WR
#128Junior Sherrill WR
#133Sedrick Alexander RB
#165Cole Spence TE
#230Jared Curtis QB

CLEM @ SYR 11/7 - 12:00 PM EST CLEM -1.5 · O/U 49.5

Our number CLEM by 6.1 66% to win -4.6 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

25.5CLEM implied points

24.0opponent implied points

#36Bryant Wesco WR
#169T.J. Moore WR
#205Gideon Davidson RB
#258Chris Johnson Jr. RB
#262Christopher Vizzina QB
#279Ahmad Miller RB
#281Steve Angeli QB

AFA @ ARMY 11/7 - 7:30 PM EST ARMY -3.5 · O/U 47.5

Our number ARMY by 7.0 68% to win +3.5 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

25.5ARMY implied points

22.0opponent implied points

Nobody from our board is in this one.

PSU @ WASH 11/7 - 3:30 PM EST WASH -2.5 · O/U 44.5

Our number PSU by 2.0 55% to win -4.5 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

23.5WASH implied points

21.0opponent implied points

#27Demond Williams QB
#49Dezmen Roebuck WR
#69Benjamin Brahmer TE
#123Rashid Williams WR
#135Carson Hansen RB
#147Decker DeGraaf TE
#156Jayden Limar RB
#176Rocco Becht QB
#248Quaid Carr RB
#251Jordan Clay WR

IOWA @ NU 11/7 - 7:30 PM EST NU -2.5 · O/U 44.5

Our number IOWA by 5.5 64% to win -8.0 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

23.5NU implied points

21.0opponent implied points

#38DJ Vonnahme TE
#72Caleb Komolafe RB
#83Griffin Wilde WR
#114Kamari Moulton RB
#181Luke Dehnicke TE
#217L.J. Phillips Jr. RB
#225Aidan Chiles QB

TEX @ MIZ 11/7 - 12:00 PM EST TEX -3 · O/U 43.5

Our number TEX by 5.3 64% to win -2.3 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

23.3TEX implied points

20.3opponent implied points

#5Arch Manning QB
#34Cam Coleman WR
#55Jamal Roberts RB
#118Ryan Wingo WR
#139Hollywood Smothers RB
#144Brett Norfleet TE
#197Cayden Lee WR
#202Michael Masunas TE
#218Emmett Mosley WR
#244Austin Simmons QB
#264Raleek Brown RB
#275Ahmad Hardy RB
#278Donovan Olugbode WR

UCLA @ MINN 11/7 - 12:00 PM EST UCLA -6.5 · O/U 39.5

Our number MINN by 0.5 51% to win +7.0 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

23.0UCLA implied points

16.5opponent implied points

#32Darius Taylor RB
#93Javon Tracy WR
#107Nico Iamaleava QB
#153Brian Rowe WR
#166Wayne Knight RB
#291Drake Lindsey QB

FRES @ USU 11/7 - 9:30 PM EST FRES -2.5 · O/U 42.5

Our number FRES by 2.8 57% to win -0.3 vs the line

NovigNo line yet

22.5FRES implied points

20.0opponent implied points

Nobody from our board is in this one.

MRMK @ WAKE 11/7 - 3:30 PM EST

Our number WAKE by 47.2 >99% to win

NovigNo line yet

#85Carlos Hernandez WR
#180Ty Clark RB
#216Gio Lopez QB

Where our number disagrees with the line, do not read it as an edge. Measured on 5,850 games from 2022-2025 with real closing lines: our margin error is 14.25 points against the market's 11.96, and taking our own side of every disagreement would have gone 49.1% against a 52.38% break-even, with no size of disagreement doing better. We also tested blending the two, and the best weight on our number came out at zero. The column is here to show how our rating sees a matchup, not to beat a price.

Novig rows show that exchange's spread, total and moneyline for each game that has not started, refreshed hourly. If Novig has no price for a game, the row says so. A Novig price is what backing a side costs right now per $1 it pays, so 52c is a 52% implied chance before Novig’s margin. The two sides of a market add to a little over 100c. The spread and total shown are the rungs closest to the DraftKings line. Prices from Novig.

Books (consensus) is hidden right now: the newest books snapshot is more than 2 hours old. Our number and Novig are unaffected. The column returns on its own when fresh prices land.

Lines and schedule from ESPN, refreshed every few minutes. Player ranks are ours and are season-long best-ball ranks, not a view on today. Separate per-game projections power the college DFS builder. Per-player usage is collected weekly for the members' usage board.

Estimates, not guarantees. Every number here is a model output or a market price, and none of it predicts a result. You must be 21 or older to bet where sports betting is legal. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.